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    • January 22, 2017 6:43 PM EST
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      My 2016 Academy Award Nomination Predictions

      It never fails. With each Oscar season comes my set of predictions. Yep, even after 15 years, I’m still going strong. So with Tuesday being the day of nominations, I decided to have a go at predicting the nominees. Once again, I predict the five, or whatever appropriate number, that I most believe will be nominated. Some categories may have an additional dark horse (DH) prediction or two for potential upsetters to my main picks as well as a possible For Your Consideration (FYC) pick for efforts that most deserve the nomination but have lousy chances. So here are my predictions:

       

      BEST PICTURE

      -Arrival

      -Fences

      -Hacksaw Ridge

      -Hell Or High Water

      -Hidden Figures

      -La La Land

      -Lion

      -Manchester By The Sea

      -Moonlight

      -Sully

      DH1: Loving

      DH2: Deadpool

      DH3: Elle

      FYC: Silence

       

      There most likely won’t be ten Best Picture nominees but I decided to predict ten in case. Who would’ve thought that Deadpool would have a chance for Best Picture? After it received a Producers Guild nomination, it is a possibility.

       

      BEST DIRECTOR

      -DAMIEN CHAZELLE/La La Land

      -MEL GIBSON/Hacksaw Ridge

      -BARRY JENKINS/Moonlight

      -KENNETH LONERGAN/Manchester By The Sea

      -DENIS VILLENEUVE/Arrival

      DH1: GARTH DAVIS/Lion

      DH2: DENZEL WASHINGTON/Fences

      FYC: MARTIN SCORSESE/Silence

       

      Remember the big #OscarsSoWhite controversy that’s been happening for the past two years? This year it looks like a lot more minorities have better chances at getting nominated. In fact this year could be the first year two black directors—Denzel Washington and Barry Jenkins—get nominated.

       

      BEST ACTOR

      -CASEY AFFLECK/Manchester By The Sea

      -ANDREW GARFIELD/Hacksaw Ridge

      -RYAN GOSLING/La La Land

      -VIGGO MORTENSON/Captain Fantastic

      - DENZEL WASHINGTON/Fences

      DH1: TOM HANKS/Sully

      DH2: JOEL EDGERTON/Loving

       

      It should come as no surprise that Ryan Gosling is the only former mouseketeer to ever be nominated for an Oscar: in 2006 for Half Nelson.

       

      BEST ACTRESS

      -AMY ADAMS/Arrival

      -ISABELLE HUPPERT/Elle

      -NATALIE PORTMAN/Jackie

      -EMMA STONE/La La Land

      -MERYL STREEP/Florence Foster Jenkins

      DH1: EMILY BLUNT/The Girl On The Train

      DH2: RUTH NEGGA/Loving

      FYC: ANNETTE BENING/20th Century Women

       

      Is there any stopping Meryl Streep? She looks poised to earn nomination #20.

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

      -MAHERSHALA ALI/Moonlight

      -JEFF BRIDGES/Hell Or High Water

      -HUGH GRANT/Florence Foster Jenkins

      -DEV PATEL/Lion

      -AARON TAYLOR-JOHNSON/Nocturnal Animals

      DH1: LUCAS HEDGES/Manchester By The Sea

      DH2: MICHAEL SHANNON/Nocturnal Animals

      FYC: ISSEI OGATA/Silence

       

      One of the problems about the recent #OscarsSoWhite row is that it made the race issue look like it’s only between black and white. It’s other races too. In fact Dev Patel looks poised to be the first Asian actor in ten years to be nominated and the first actor of South Asian descent since Ben Kingsley.

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

      -VIOLA DAVIS/Fences

      -NAOMIE HARRIS/Moonlight

      -NICOLE KIDMAN/Lion

      -OCTAVIA SPENCER/Hidden Figures

      -MICHELLE WILLIAMS/Manchester By The Sea

      DH1: JANELLE MONAE/Hidden Figures

      DH2: GRETA GERWIG/20th Century Women

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

      -DAMIEN CHAZELLE/La La Land

      -BARRY JENKINS and TERELL ALVIN McCRANEY/Moonlight

      -KENNETH LONERGAN/Manchester By The Sea

      -JEFF NICHOLS/Loving

      -TAYLOR SHERIDAN/Hell Or High Water

      DH1: PAUL LAVERTY/I, Daniel Blake

      DH2: MIKE MILLS/20th Century Women

      FYC: YORGOS LANTHIMOS and EFYHIMIS FILIPOU/The Lobster

       

      Each year it’s an interesting look to see which year’s scripts had the most muscle? Original or Adapted? This year looks like it’s the Originals’ year.

       

      BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

      -LUKE DAVIES/Lion

      -TOM FORD/Nocturnal Animals

      -ERIC HEISSERER/Arrival

      -ALLISON SCHROEDER and THEODORE MELFI/Hidden Figures

      -AUGUST WILSON/Fences

      DH1: JAY COCKS and MARTIN SCORSESE/Silence

      DH2: TODD KOMARNICKI/Sully

      FYC: RHETT REESE and TOM WERNICK/Deadpool

       

      BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

      -Kubo And The Two Strings

      -Moana

      -My Life As a Zucchini

      -The Red Turtle

      -Zootopia

      DH1: Finding Dory

      DH2: Miss Hokusai

       

      This category has often been the case where movies that were sure shots for nominations-- The Peanuts Movie last year and The Lego Movie the year before – were actually snubbed in favor of independent fare. We’ll see what big favs get snubbed out this year.

       

      BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

      -GREG FRASER/Lion

      -JAMES LAXTON/Moonlight

      -SEAMUS McGARVEY/Nocturnal Animals

      -LINUS SANDGREN/La La Land

      -BRADFORD YOUNG/Arrival

      DH: RODRIGO PRIETO/Silence

       

      BEST COSTUME DESIGN

      - COLLEEN ATWOOD/Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them

      -MARION BOYCE and MARGOT WILSON/The Dressmaker

      -CONSOLATA BOYLE/Florence Foster Jenkins

      -MADELINE FONTAINE/Jackie

      -MARY ZOPHRES/La La Land

      DH1: MARY ZOPHRES/Hail Caesar!

      DH2: EIMER NI MHAOLDOMHNAIGH/Love & Friendship

       

      BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

      -The Eagle Huntress

      -Life, Animated

      -OJ: Made In America

      -13th

      -Tower

      DH: Weiner

       

      BEST FILM EDITING

      -TOM CROSS/La La Land

      -JOHN GILBERT/Hacksaw Ridge

      -JENNIFER LAME/Manchester By The Sea

      -NAT SANDERS and JOI McMILLON/Moonlight

      -JOE WALKER/Arrival

      DH1: JAKE ROBERTS/Hell Or High Water

      DH2: JULIAN CLARKE/Deadpool

       

      BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

      - It's Only The End Of The World (Canada)

      -A Man Called Ove (Sweden)

      -The Salesman (Iran)

      -Tanna (Australia)

      -Toni Erdmann (Germany)

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

      -NICHOLAS BRITWELL/Moonlight

      -JUSTIN HURWITZ/La La Land

      -JOHANN JOHANSON/Arrival

      - DUSTIN O'HALLORAN and HAUSCHKA/Lion

      -JOHN WILLIAMS/The BFG

      DH1: HANS ZIMMER, PHARREL WILLIAMS and BENJAMIN WALFISCH/Hidden Figures

      DH2: ABEL KORZENIOWSKI/Nocturnal Animals

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SONG

      -‘Can’t Stop The Feeling’/Trolls

      -‘City Of Stars’/La La Land

      -‘Heathens’/Suicide Squad

      -‘How Far I’ll Go’/Moana

      -‘Try Everything’/Zootopia

      DH1: ‘Faith’/Sing

      DH2: ‘Just Like Fire’/Alice Through Looking Glass

      FYC: 'The Great Beyond'/Sausage Party

       

      BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

      - Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them

      - Hail Caesar!

      -Jackie

      -Hacksaw Ridge

      -La La Land

      DH1: Arrival

      DH2: Rogue One

       

      BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

      -Captain America: Civil War

      -Doctor Strange

      -Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them

      -The Jungle Book

      -Rogue One

      DH: Arrival

       

      And there you go. My predictions for this year’s Oscar nominees. Of course I won’t predict for every category, like the short movies. Just the main ones and the technical ones I know best. We’ll see how I did Tuesday morning.

      This post was edited by OmahaTrevor85 at January 31, 2017 1:52 AM EST
    • January 22, 2017 7:23 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      Finding Dory better be nominated. :)

    • January 22, 2017 9:59 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      What about A Monster Calls for best pic, you don;t think it even has a chance for a nomination?

    • January 23, 2017 12:54 AM EST
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      Hacksaw Ridhe was just excellent as was Hell Or High Water. I say both are nominated and one wins it.

    • January 23, 2017 1:08 AM EST
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      Untitled title

      Your predictions are always a welcome sight, I wonder do you watch all these movies?

    • January 23, 2017 4:31 PM EST
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      Hacksaw Ridge best Pic.

      Mel Gibson best director

      Andrew Garfield best actor. :)

    • January 23, 2017 4:45 PM EST
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      Lewis MacDougall for a nomination, come on make it so. :)

    • January 24, 2017 5:17 PM EST
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      I am OUTRAGED over the snub of "Finding Dory." :(

    • January 24, 2017 11:48 PM EST
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      Absolutely shocked over the snubs of Martin Scorsese, Deadpool and Annette benning.

    • January 26, 2017 4:57 PM EST
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      No Finding Dory, Boooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo.

    • January 27, 2017 2:55 PM EST
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      Stunned by the snub to Finding Dory and Martin Scorsese.

    • January 28, 2017 12:15 PM EST
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      @OmahaTrevor85 I would like to know what was the most surprising snubb for you out of the nominations.

      Your opinion is important as you seem to know your stuff.

    • February 2, 2017 8:21 PM EST
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      I was surprised of the snubs of Amy Adams and Hugh Grant. Finding Dory was also a surprise too.

      Colton said:

      @OmahaTrevor85 I would like to know what was the most surprising snubb for you out of the nominations.

      Your opinion is important as you seem to know your stuff.

       

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