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    • February 25, 2017 3:58 PM EST
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      My 2016 Academy Award Predictions

      Okay, Sunday’s Oscar night. That means you all get my annual predictions. It’s a TSO tradition going back 15 years ago. Once again I give you my Should Win (SW) pick, my Will Win (WW) pick and my Closest Threat (CT) pick. So here goes:

       

      BEST PICTURE :

      WW: La La Land

      SW & CT: Moonlight

       

      La La Land looks poised to be the first musical since 2002’s Chicago to win Best Picture. Also the first Best Picture winner to gross $100 million since 2012’s Argo. What is up with the Academy nowadays?

       

      BEST DIRECTOR:

      WW: DAMIEN CHAZELLE/La La Land

      SW & CT: BARRY JENKINS/Moonlight

       

      It’s the year of La La Land. Admit it. People love musicals. And Chazelle delivered a completely original one for the big screen.

       

      BEST ACTOR:

      SW & WW: DENZEL WASHINGTON/Fences

      CT: CASEY AFFLECK/Manchester By The Sea

       

      Normally the Academy is reluctant to give an actor or actress a third Oscar. However Denzel is the one to do it by bringing Troy Maxson to the big screen, and in a big way.

       

      BEST ACTRESS:

      WW: EMMA STONE/La La Land

      SW & CT: ISABELLE HUPPERT/Elle

       

      It’s usually the acting performances that have the best chances of winning Oscars. Emma delivered.

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

      SW & WW: MAHERSHALA ALI/Moonlight

      CT: DEV PATEL/Lion

       

      Remember how for the past two years there was the #OscarsSoWhite row? This year there are seven non-white actors nominated. Mahershala Ali is anticipated to win for playing a gangsta with a smooth style and a wise head.

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

      SW & WW: VIOLA DAVIS/Fences

      CT: OCTAVIA SPENCER/Hidden Figures

       

      If anyone can steal Fences from Denzel, it’s Viola!

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

      SW: TAYLOR SHERIDAN/Hell Of High Water

      WW: KENNETH LONERGAN/Manchester By The Sea

      CT: DAMIEN CHAZELLE/La La Land

       

      If there’s one category Manchester By The Sea still has its best chances at, it’s this.

       

      BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

      SW & WW: BARRY JENKINS and TARELL ALVIN McCRANEY/Moonlight

      CT: ERIC HEISSERER/Arrival

       

      Isn’t it weird that Moonlight has won a lot of Original Screenplay awards? The fact it’s based off a short story is why the Academy classifies it as Adapted.

       

      BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

      WW: Zootopia

      SW & CT: Kubo And The Two Strings

       

      2016 was a remarkable year for animated movies. So many of them and they entertained best. That may explain why favorites like Finding Dory and The Secret Life Of Pets got snubbed. Just too much competition.

      Disney has won this category ten out of fifteen times. No question this is the Oscar they most want to win. Zootopia is just what they need to win it.

       

      BEST ART DIRECTION:

      WW: La La Land

      CT: Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them

       

      BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

      SW & WW: GREIG FRASER/Lion

      CT: LINUS SANDGREN/La La Land

       

      BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

      WW: MARY ZOPHRES/La La Land

      CT: MADELINE FONTAINE/Jackie

       

      BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

      WW: O.J.: Made In America

      CT: 13th

       

      BEST FILM EDITING:

      WW: TOM CROSS/La La Land

      CT: JOHN GILBERT/Hacksaw Ridge

       

      BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

      WW: Toni Erdmann (Germany)

      CT: The Salesman (Iran)

       

      Iranian director Asghar Farhadi won five years ago for A Separation. However he will boycott the Oscars in protest of Trump’s immigration policies.

       

      BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

      WW: Suicide Squad

      CT: A Man Called Ove

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

      SW & WW: JUSTIN HURWITZ/La La Land

      CT: NICHOLAS BRITTELL/Moonlight

       

      A score to an original musical is a foregone conclusion.

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

      SW: ‘Audition (The Fools Who Dream)’/La La Land

      WW: ‘City Of Stars’/La La Land

      CT: ‘Can’t Stop The Feeling!’/Trolls

       

      BEST SOUND MIXING:

      WW: Hacksaw Ridge

      CT: La La Land

       

      BEST SOUND EDITING:

      WW: Hacksaw Ridge

       

      BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

      WW: The Jungle Book

      SW & CT: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

       

      We all know Star Wars delivers the best visual effects of the year. Problem is that’s the expectation for every Star Wars movie. That explains why Ex Machina won last year; because their visual effects did not have the expectations Star Wars gets each time. That also explains why The Jungle Book has the edge this year.

       

      BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM:

      WW: Silent Nights

       

      BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM:

      WW: Piper

       

      BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT:

      WW: Joe’s Violin

       

      And there you go. My predictions for tomorrow’s Academy Awards. This will be the first time Jimmy Kimmel is hosting. Will he do a good job or will he mess up? We’ll see.

      This post was edited by OmahaTrevor85 at March 8, 2017 8:31 PM EST
    • February 25, 2017 7:04 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      I like your picks, we have to get you on the Academy panel. I am hoping for Denzel. 

      This post was edited by JacksonB at February 25, 2017 9:31 PM EST
    • February 27, 2017 1:49 AM EST
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      Untitled title

      After the results are now in I have to say your picks were pretty damn good and maybe all should have been true winners.

    • February 28, 2017 10:01 AM EST
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      Untitled title

      Your picks are good, but what a mess-up for Best picture, that was as bad as Steve Harvey. lol

    • March 3, 2017 5:38 PM EST
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      Not the best Oscars I have seen, good lord I felt for Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway in that mess-up, felt even sorry for the La La Land people, I felt La La Land was the correct choice by the way. I am sure they know now how Steve Harvey felt. :D

    • March 6, 2017 9:45 PM EST
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      I watched the Oscars broadcast in a movie theatre with their Oscar party. All of us were shocked! How could that happen?
      The next day, I sent a tweet to the 'envelope duo' saying I hope they still have their day jobs! :D
      JeffJones said:

      Not the best Oscars I have seen, good lord I felt for Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway in that mess-up, felt even sorry for the La La Land people, I felt La La Land was the correct choice by the way. I am sure they know now how Steve Harvey felt. :D

       

    • March 8, 2017 8:32 PM EST
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      I felt more sorry for La La Land people all happy and celebrating.
      OmahaTrevor85 said:
      I watched the Oscars broadcast in a movie theatre with their Oscar party. All of us were shocked! How could that happen?
      The next day, I sent a tweet to the 'envelope duo' saying I hope they still have their day jobs! :D
      JeffJones said:

      Not the best Oscars I have seen, good lord I felt for Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway in that mess-up, felt even sorry for the La La Land people, I felt La La Land was the correct choice by the way. I am sure they know now how Steve Harvey felt. :D

       

       

    • March 8, 2017 8:51 PM EST
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      Yes, I went from annoyed about learning there was a mistake to just plain disgusted when I saw the looks on the faces of those from La La Land. I was at a party in a movie theatre and that completely ruined my evening.
      KidX said:
      I felt more sorry for La La Land people all happy and celebrating.

       

       

       

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