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    • February 6, 2020 9:24 PM EST
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      My Predictions for The 92nd Academy Awards

      How about that? They're happening this soon! Much to my relief, and I'm sure everybody else's, they will be back to the last Sunday of February. Whatever the situation, this has been an interesting race with a lot of interesting contenders. Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners:

       

      BEST PICTURE

      Will Win: 1917

      Should Win & Closest Threat #1: Parasite

      Closest Threat #2: Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

       

      Seven out of the ten Best Picture winner of the 1990's grossed more than $100 million domestically. Seven of the ten Best Picture winners of the noughts also made it past $100 million domestically. But only two of the nine Best Picture winners of the 2010's have passed the domestic $100 million mark? Here's hoping 1917 will make it #3, at least.

       

      BEST DIRECTOR

      WW: SAM MENDES/1917

      SW & CT: BONG JOON-HO/Parasite

       

      Many months before I even first visited TSO (back in the fall of 2000) my aunt was to take me out to a movie. I expected an action movie I wanted to see. Instead I got American Beauty that was directed by Sam Mendes. I was mesmerized from start to finish. And it was one of many movies from the ground-breaking movie year of 1999 that launched my interest in film and the Oscar races.

      Will history repeat itself for Mendes 20 years later? He's highly favored.

       

      BEST ACTOR

      SW & WW: JOAQUIN PHOENIX/Joker

      CT: ADAM DRIVER/Marriage Story

       

      Joker could have been a popcorn movie and the role of the Joker could have been a role good enough for a popcorm film. But Joaquin Phoenix went above and beyond everyone's expectations.

       

      BEST ACTRESS

      SW & WW: RENEE ZELLWEGER/Judy

      CT: SCARLETT JOHANNSON/Marriage Story

       

      Judy Garland never won a competitive Oscar of the two nominations she received in her lifetime. She did however win an honorary Juvenile Oscar in 1939 for her performance in The Wizard Of Oz. Renee looks poised to win the Oscar for portraying Judy.

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

      SW & WW: BRAT PITT/Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

      CT: JOE PESCI/The Irishman

       

      Interesting that Brad Pitt is the only nominee in this category that has never won an Oscar. Three nominations but never a win. This looks like it's finally his time!

       

      BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

      SW & WW: LAURA DERN/Marriage Story

      CT: MARGOT ROBBIE/Bombshell

       

      Laura's father Bruce Dern has been nominated twice but never won. Her mother Diane Ladd has been nominted three times without a win. Laura herself has been nominated twice before without a win. This could finally be it!

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

      WW: QUENTIN TARANTINO/Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

      SW & CT:  BONG JOON-HO/Parasite

       

      I don't trust the Academy to give this award to a foreign film for the second straight year.

       

      BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

      SW: STEVE ZAILLIAN/The Irishman

      WW: GRETA GERWIG/Little Women

      CT: TAIKA WAITITI/Jojo rabbit

       

      Interesting that Greta's common-law husband Noah Baumbach is nominated in Original Screenplay for Marriage Story.

       

      BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

      SW & WW: Toy Story 4

      CT: Klaus

       

      This looks like to be the most unpredictable year for this particular category. Toy Story 4 won the Critics Choice and the Producers Guild Award, Missing Link won the GG, and NetFlix's Klaus won the BAFTA and the Annie! I go with Toy Story 4 because even though I know the Academy doesn't normally pick animated sequels, Toy Story 3 is the only sequel to win this category.

       

      BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

      SW & WW: ROGER DEAKINS/1917

       

      BEST COSTUME DESIGN

      WW: MAYES RUBIO/Jojo Rabbit

      SW & CT:JACQUELINE DURRAN/Little Women

       

      Ever notice how this category mostlfavors timepieces? Very rarely sci-fi. Though Ruth E. Carter won for Black Panther last year. However all are timepeices this year. Even Joker is set in the 1980's.

       

      BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

      WW: American Factory

      CT: For Sama

       

      BEST FILM EDITING

      WW: MICHAEL McCUSKER and ANDREW BUCKLAND/Ford v Ferrari

      SW & CT: YANG JIM-MO/Parasite

       

      BEST HAIR and MAKEUP

      WW: Bombshell

      SW & CT: Joker

       

      BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

      SW & WW: Parasite (South Korea)

      CT: Pain and Glory (Spain)

       

      “Once you overcome the one-inch-tall barrier of subtitles, you’ll be introduced to so many more amazing films.”

      -Bong Joon-ho

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

      SW & WW: HILDUR GUðNADOTTIR /Joker

      CT: THOMAS NEWMAN/1917

       

      The only time a woman has won an Oscar for Score was back in 1997, when there were two Score categories: for dramas and comedies. Hildur looks heavily poised to be the second!

       

      BEST ORIGINAL SONG

      SW & WW: "(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again" - Rocketman

      CT: "Stand Up" / Harriet

       

      BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

      SW & WW: Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

      CT: 1917

       

      BEST SOUND EDITING

      SW & WW: Ford v Ferrari

      CT: 1917

       

      BEST SOUND MIXING

      WW: 1917

      SW & CT: Ford v Ferrari

       

      BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

      SW: Avengers: Endgame

      WW: 1917

      CT: The Lion King

       

      This is another category with many awards boards giving its award to different movies. This will be one of the hardest to pick.

       

      BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

      WW: Hair Love

       

      BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM

      WW: Brotherhood

       

      BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

      WW: Learning To Skate In A Warzone (If You're A Girl)

       

      And there you go! Those are my predictions for the Oscars. We'll see how I fare on Sunday night.

      This post was edited by OmahaTrevor85 at February 9, 2020 11:31 PM EST
    • February 6, 2020 10:56 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      Snap so this 1917 World War 1 pic must be as good as they are all saying.

    • February 7, 2020 8:51 AM EST
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      Untitled title

      Very cool but you did not add your choice for Visual Effects I would like to know your choice ion that cat.

    • February 7, 2020 4:18 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      Actually I was in a rush and I had problems with a library computer.
      Predictions for all categories are up now.
      Shawn said:

      Very cool but you did not add your choice for Visual Effects I would like to know your choice ion that cat.

       

    • February 7, 2020 9:00 PM EST
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      Thanks, I can't understand how a war movie could be in consideration for visual effects? is that not more for like Star Wars, Superhero movies and other sci-fi like stuff?

    • February 7, 2020 11:19 PM EST
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      Untitled title

      Eldon said:

      Thanks, I can't understand how a war movie could be in consideration for visual effects? is that not more for like Star Wars, Superhero movies and other sci-fi like stuff?

       

      A lot of the explosions in 1917 are part of the visual effects as well as the plane crash. Also there's the effect of making this film look like it's all a single take.

      Also The Irishman is in there for making Joe, Robert and Al look 40 years younger without a big make-up job! That's the magic of CGI!

    • February 8, 2020 12:03 AM EST
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      I want Toy Story 4 to win for the best-animated film. :)

    • February 8, 2020 8:05 PM EST
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      The best film is "Once Upon A Time In Hollywood," book it.

    • February 9, 2020 11:33 PM EST
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      Excellent job with the picks, I left a comment over at FTS but I will add so far you were right on with many, just waiting for the big one in the best film, a bit of surprise with the best director but you said it was possible.

    • February 15, 2020 9:48 AM EST
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      I like your picks better, I am a bit annoyed that Parasite won big with Picture and Director my choices were different but that being said it is a very good film. I just thought 1917 was so extraordinary it deserved it.

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